Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000198 0.000219 0.000241 0.000267 0.000296 0.000328 0.000365
2025-10-12 0.000160 0.000191 0.000227 0.000272 0.000327 0.000393 0.000478
2025-10-19 0.000135 0.000169 0.000212 0.000269 0.000345 0.000441 0.000576
2025-10-26 0.000119 0.000156 0.000204 0.000272 0.000366 0.000494 0.000684
2025-11-02 0.000105 0.000143 0.000193 0.000268 0.000377 0.000533 0.000777
2025-11-09 0.000095 0.000133 0.000186 0.000268 0.000391 0.000576 0.000880
2025-11-16 0.000086 0.000123 0.000178 0.000263 0.000398 0.000608 0.000972
2025-11-23 0.000077 0.000114 0.000168 0.000256 0.000400 0.000632 0.001051
2025-11-30 0.000073 0.000110 0.000166 0.000260 0.000419 0.000686 0.001188
2025-12-07 0.000069 0.000106 0.000165 0.000265 0.000441 0.000746 0.001344
2025-12-14 0.000064 0.000100 0.000158 0.000260 0.000443 0.000772 0.001441
2025-12-21 0.000058 0.000093 0.000149 0.000250 0.000437 0.000782 0.001507
2025-12-28 0.000055 0.000090 0.000148 0.000255 0.000459 0.000848 0.001702
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000087 0.000147 0.000260 0.000481 0.000918 0.001921
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000083 0.000142 0.000258 0.000489 0.000964 0.002093
2026-01-18 0.000047 0.000080 0.000140 0.000260 0.000507 0.001031 0.002327
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000076 0.000136 0.000257 0.000513 0.001072 0.002509
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000073 0.000133 0.000256 0.000525 0.001127 0.002735
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000070 0.000128 0.000252 0.000528 0.001164 0.002920
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000066 0.000123 0.000245 0.000524 0.001185 0.003067
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000065 0.000122 0.000249 0.000545 0.001268 0.003409
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000063 0.000122 0.000254 0.000570 0.001364 0.003807
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000060 0.000118 0.000249 0.000569 0.001394 0.004012